The 2024 shooting variance all-stars
The high seeds that run hottest, those who run coldest, and those who are beacons of stability
This is merely a quick idea I had this morning that I haven’t seen covered elsewhere, so I won’t bother with a long introduction. Of the future 1-4 seeds, which teams have the largest amount of space between their worst (5th-percentile) and best (95th-percentile) outcomes in a game? There’s a few different ways to measure this, but I think the simplest is this: take a team’s eFG%, measure their standard deviation over the season, and see who’s lowest and highest.
Considering this is actual original research, I’m paywalling this one. We’re over 500 paid subscribers now, so I don’t feel all that bad for doing it, but if you haven’t signed up, it’s just $18/year or $12 through Trilly Donovan’s Discord. So: paywall jump.