some of this is misleading as there has been alot of teams not meet criteria entering ncaa tournament but as they beat good teams they moved up. So this isnt predictive its after the fact ratings IMO
The entire point of this column is that you should use pre-tourney statistics to judge teams, which is why he provides pre-tourney statistics throughout the entire piece.
"The KenPom rankings referenced are end-of-season rankings, not pre-tournament rankings."
What's the difference between end of season and pre-tournament rankings? Is end of season the beginning of conference tournaments and the end of conference tournaments are the beginning of pre-tournament?
"So, yeah, no wonder every champion ended up in the top 20"
I don't follow here - why do end of season rankings help the champ rank in the top 20?
Pre-tournament: everything prior to the NCAA Tournament beginning.
End-of-season: the NCAA Tournament stats are included with everything else from the season. Those games get weighed a little more than regular season games, so teams can rise and fall more than they would in January. A hot defensive run in the Tournament can help you go from 44th to 21st, as Baylor did in 2021. Or 24th to 11th like Villanova in 2018.
some of this is misleading as there has been alot of teams not meet criteria entering ncaa tournament but as they beat good teams they moved up. So this isnt predictive its after the fact ratings IMO
The entire point of this column is that you should use pre-tourney statistics to judge teams, which is why he provides pre-tourney statistics throughout the entire piece.
Good stuff, but your info for 06 Florida is off.
From KenPom’s pre-tourney info excel doc:
Florida: #6 overall for AdjEM, #13 for AdjOE and #18 for AdjDE
"The KenPom rankings referenced are end-of-season rankings, not pre-tournament rankings."
What's the difference between end of season and pre-tournament rankings? Is end of season the beginning of conference tournaments and the end of conference tournaments are the beginning of pre-tournament?
"So, yeah, no wonder every champion ended up in the top 20"
I don't follow here - why do end of season rankings help the champ rank in the top 20?
Pre-tournament: everything prior to the NCAA Tournament beginning.
End-of-season: the NCAA Tournament stats are included with everything else from the season. Those games get weighed a little more than regular season games, so teams can rise and fall more than they would in January. A hot defensive run in the Tournament can help you go from 44th to 21st, as Baylor did in 2021. Or 24th to 11th like Villanova in 2018.
That clears it up, thanks!
Didn't know there was more weighting to the NCAA tournament games.