Stats By Will

Stats By Will

Share this post

Stats By Will
Stats By Will
The future 2024 NCAA Tournament field looks...fine?

The future 2024 NCAA Tournament field looks...fine?

A topsy-turvy year at the top belies the fact that this looks less chaotic than 2023, though still pretty chaotic

Will Warren's avatar
Will Warren
Feb 02, 2024
∙ Paid
7

Share this post

Stats By Will
Stats By Will
The future 2024 NCAA Tournament field looks...fine?
Share

When I was younger, the big and fun thing to do was to drive to Toys ‘R’ Us to knock off a couple of items from a birthday or Christmas wishlist. This could be a variety of things, but once I got the PlayStation 2 at age 8 (the biggest moment in my life prior to meeting my wife 12 years later), it was all video games from there for about seven years. One of the first I remember is what I’m sure is the off-brand version of a better game: NCAA Final Four 2002.

NCAA Final Four 2002 -- Gameplay (PS2) - YouTube

I had the March Madness series when I was younger and toyed with the 2K series for a bit, but for years, until the disc finally wore out, this was my college basketball game of choice. First, it was great for short attention spans, because you could sim through more or less every game with ease. Second, recruiting was honestly very easy; you just reloaded the game over and over until a good-enough recruit popped up.

Third was the most important piece: the bracketology. Back in those days, RPI was the king metric, but your team’s RPI wouldn’t show until February 1 of a given year. Of course, your season didn’t begin until the week of Thanksgiving, so that would be like mid-January now, but it’s stuck with me forever. For the most part, I never look at bracketology stuff or field comparisons until the calendar flips to February.

In that spirit, it’s time to bring back something we did last year. How does the 2023-24 projected field (well, the top 50 teams) compare to those of previous years? Last year, it helped us realize well ahead of time that we were in for an all-time insane NCAA Tournament.

NCAA Weekly, Vol. 11: We're still heading for a wide-open March

Will Warren
·
January 31, 2023
NCAA Weekly, Vol. 11: We're still heading for a wide-open March

A couple weeks back I wrote about how this season was trending towards one of the wildest NCAA Tournaments on record. There’s not nearly as large of a gap between the top-end and middle-end of the sport as usual. The back quarter of the ‘real’ field - i.e., seed lines 10 through 12 - is actually

Read full story

With all of this in mind, I wanted to run back the same study for 2023-24, based on the February 1 date of the last 27 seasons. The results are in, and…well, we’re in for what looks like a pretty standard NCAA Tournament. Seriously!

BEHIND THE WALL ($): Hope you liked 2007, 2011, and 2012

Stats By Will is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

This post is for paid subscribers

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Will Warren
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share